油田开发指标预测的一种综合模型

An Integrated Model for Predicting Development Indexes of Waterflood Oilfields

摘要: 将纳扎洛夫水驱曲线法和Logistic预测模型有机结合，提出了一种预测水驱油田开发指标的综合模型。克服了两种方法在动态预测上的不足，能够方便地预测历年的开发指标，应用表明，该模型的预测结果与实际值吻合程度较高。

Abstract: An integrated prediction model for waterflood development index is built through combining Nazalov water displacement curve with the logistic prediction model. It overcomes the limitations of the two methods and can easily forecast the development indexes over the years. Application shows that the predicted results are coincident with the actual development indexes.